Interest and Prices

Interest and Prices PDF Author: Michael Woodford
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400830168
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 805

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Book Description
With the collapse of the Bretton Woods system, any pretense of a connection of the world's currencies to any real commodity has been abandoned. Yet since the 1980s, most central banks have abandoned money-growth targets as practical guidelines for monetary policy as well. How then can pure "fiat" currencies be managed so as to create confidence in the stability of national units of account? Interest and Prices seeks to provide theoretical foundations for a rule-based approach to monetary policy suitable for a world of instant communications and ever more efficient financial markets. In such a world, effective monetary policy requires that central banks construct a conscious and articulate account of what they are doing. Michael Woodford reexamines the foundations of monetary economics, and shows how interest-rate policy can be used to achieve an inflation target in the absence of either commodity backing or control of a monetary aggregate. The book further shows how the tools of modern macroeconomic theory can be used to design an optimal inflation-targeting regime--one that balances stabilization goals with the pursuit of price stability in a way that is grounded in an explicit welfare analysis, and that takes account of the "New Classical" critique of traditional policy evaluation exercises. It thus argues that rule-based policymaking need not mean adherence to a rigid framework unrelated to stabilization objectives for the sake of credibility, while at the same time showing the advantages of rule-based over purely discretionary policymaking.

Interest and Prices

Interest and Prices PDF Author: Michael Woodford
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400830168
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 805

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Book Description
With the collapse of the Bretton Woods system, any pretense of a connection of the world's currencies to any real commodity has been abandoned. Yet since the 1980s, most central banks have abandoned money-growth targets as practical guidelines for monetary policy as well. How then can pure "fiat" currencies be managed so as to create confidence in the stability of national units of account? Interest and Prices seeks to provide theoretical foundations for a rule-based approach to monetary policy suitable for a world of instant communications and ever more efficient financial markets. In such a world, effective monetary policy requires that central banks construct a conscious and articulate account of what they are doing. Michael Woodford reexamines the foundations of monetary economics, and shows how interest-rate policy can be used to achieve an inflation target in the absence of either commodity backing or control of a monetary aggregate. The book further shows how the tools of modern macroeconomic theory can be used to design an optimal inflation-targeting regime--one that balances stabilization goals with the pursuit of price stability in a way that is grounded in an explicit welfare analysis, and that takes account of the "New Classical" critique of traditional policy evaluation exercises. It thus argues that rule-based policymaking need not mean adherence to a rigid framework unrelated to stabilization objectives for the sake of credibility, while at the same time showing the advantages of rule-based over purely discretionary policymaking.

The Price of Time

The Price of Time PDF Author: Edward Chancellor
Publisher: Grove Press
ISBN: 0802160077
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 375

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Book Description
A comprehensive and profoundly relevant history of interest from one of the world’s leading financial writers, The Price of Time explains our current global financial position and how we got here In the beginning was the loan, and the loan carried interest. For at least five millennia people have been borrowing and lending at interest. The practice wasn’t always popular—in the ancient world, usury was generally viewed as exploitative, a potential path to debt bondage and slavery. Yet as capitalism became established from the late Middle Ages onwards, denunciations of interest were tempered because interest was a necessary reward for lenders to part with their capital. And interest performs many other vital functions: it encourages people to save; enables them to place a value on precious assets, such as houses and all manner of financial securities; and allows us to price risk. All economic and financial activities take place across time. Interest is often described as the “price of money,” but it is better called the “price of time:” time is scarce, time has value, interest is the time value of money. Over the first two decades of the twenty-first century, interest rates have sunk lower than ever before. Easy money after the global financial crisis in 2007/2008 has produced several ill effects, including the appearance of multiple asset price bubbles, a reduction in productivity growth, discouraging savings and exacerbating inequality, and forcing yield starved investors to take on excessive risk. The financial world now finds itself caught between a rock and a hard place, and Edward Chancellor is here to tell us why. In this enriching volume, Chancellor explores the history of interest and its essential function in determining how capital is allocated and priced.

Interest and Prices

Interest and Prices PDF Author: Knut Wicksell
Publisher: Ludwig von Mises Institute
ISBN: 1610164253
Category : Interest
Languages : en
Pages : 275

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Book Description


Interest Rates and Asset Prices

Interest Rates and Asset Prices PDF Author: Ralph Turvey
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1000579891
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 69

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Book Description
First published in 1960, Interest Rates and Asset Prices presents an analysis of the determination of interest rates and asset prices with the help of few simple assumptions. The theory can be regarded either as an alternative to the liquidity preference theory or as an extension of it. Like that theory, it is aggregative and simple, but it is applicable not only to interest rates on government securities but also to yields on real assets. Furthermore, it can be formulated in terms of actually measurable variables, so that it is directly applicable to particular situations. This is demonstrated by a statistical example relating to the average yield on U.S. Government securities in the post- war period. In addition to the main analysis the author discusses the role of financial intermediaries and the structure of interest rates, and there is also a re-examination of the determinants of the transactions demand for money. This is book is an essential read for students of economics.

Monetary Trends in the United States and the United Kingdom

Monetary Trends in the United States and the United Kingdom PDF Author: Milton Friedman
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226264254
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 697

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Book Description
The special task of this book is to present a statistical and theoretical analysis of the relation between the quantity of money and other key economic magnitudes over periods longer than those dominated by cyclical fluctuations-hence the term trends in the title. This book is not restricted to the United States but includes comparable data for the United Kingdom.

The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money

The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money PDF Author: John Maynard Keynes
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319703447
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 404

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Book Description
This book was originally published by Macmillan in 1936. It was voted the top Academic Book that Shaped Modern Britain by Academic Book Week (UK) in 2017, and in 2011 was placed on Time Magazine's top 100 non-fiction books written in English since 1923. Reissued with a fresh Introduction by the Nobel-prize winner Paul Krugman and a new Afterword by Keynes’ biographer Robert Skidelsky, this important work is made available to a new generation. The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money transformed economics and changed the face of modern macroeconomics. Keynes’ argument is based on the idea that the level of employment is not determined by the price of labour, but by the spending of money. It gave way to an entirely new approach where employment, inflation and the market economy are concerned. Highly provocative at its time of publication, this book and Keynes’ theories continue to remain the subject of much support and praise, criticism and debate. Economists at any stage in their career will enjoy revisiting this treatise and observing the relevance of Keynes’ work in today’s contemporary climate.

Monetary Policy, Inflation, and the Business Cycle

Monetary Policy, Inflation, and the Business Cycle PDF Author: Jordi Galí
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400866278
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 295

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Book Description
The classic introduction to the New Keynesian economic model This revised second edition of Monetary Policy, Inflation, and the Business Cycle provides a rigorous graduate-level introduction to the New Keynesian framework and its applications to monetary policy. The New Keynesian framework is the workhorse for the analysis of monetary policy and its implications for inflation, economic fluctuations, and welfare. A backbone of the new generation of medium-scale models under development at major central banks and international policy institutions, the framework provides the theoretical underpinnings for the price stability–oriented strategies adopted by most central banks in the industrialized world. Using a canonical version of the New Keynesian model as a reference, Jordi Galí explores various issues pertaining to monetary policy's design, including optimal monetary policy and the desirability of simple policy rules. He analyzes several extensions of the baseline model, allowing for cost-push shocks, nominal wage rigidities, and open economy factors. In each case, the effects on monetary policy are addressed, with emphasis on the desirability of inflation-targeting policies. New material includes the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates and an analysis of unemployment’s significance for monetary policy. The most up-to-date introduction to the New Keynesian framework available A single benchmark model used throughout New materials and exercises included An ideal resource for graduate students, researchers, and market analysts

The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level

The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level PDF Author: John Cochrane
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 0691243247
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 585

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Book Description
A comprehensive account of how government deficits and debt drive inflation Where do inflation and deflation ultimately come from? The fiscal theory of the price level offers a simple answer: Prices adjust so that the real value of government debt equals the present value of taxes less spending. Inflation breaks out when people don’t expect the government to fully repay its debts. The fiscal theory is well suited to today’s economy: Financial innovation undermines money demand, and central banks don’t control the money supply or aggressively change interest rates, invalidating classic theories, while large debts and deficits threaten inflation and constrain monetary policy. This book presents a comprehensive account of this important theory from one of its leading developers and advocates. John Cochrane aims to make fiscal theory useful as a conceptual framework and modeling tool, and for analyzing history and policy. He merges fiscal theory with standard models in which central banks set interest rates, giving a novel account of monetary policy. He generalizes the theory to explain data and make realistic predictions. For example, inflation decreases in recessions despite deficits because discount rates fall, raising the value of debt; specifying that governments promise to partially repay debt avoids classic puzzles and allows the theory to apply at all times, not just during periods of high inflation. Cochrane offers an extensive rethinking of monetary doctrines and institutions through the eyes of fiscal theory, and analyzes the era of zero interest rates and post-pandemic inflation. Filled with research by Cochrane and others, The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level offers important new insights about fiscal and monetary policy.

Asset Pricing

Asset Pricing PDF Author: John H. Cochrane
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400829135
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 560

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Book Description
Winner of the prestigious Paul A. Samuelson Award for scholarly writing on lifelong financial security, John Cochrane's Asset Pricing now appears in a revised edition that unifies and brings the science of asset pricing up to date for advanced students and professionals. Cochrane traces the pricing of all assets back to a single idea--price equals expected discounted payoff--that captures the macro-economic risks underlying each security's value. By using a single, stochastic discount factor rather than a separate set of tricks for each asset class, Cochrane builds a unified account of modern asset pricing. He presents applications to stocks, bonds, and options. Each model--consumption based, CAPM, multifactor, term structure, and option pricing--is derived as a different specification of the discounted factor. The discount factor framework also leads to a state-space geometry for mean-variance frontiers and asset pricing models. It puts payoffs in different states of nature on the axes rather than mean and variance of return, leading to a new and conveniently linear geometrical representation of asset pricing ideas. Cochrane approaches empirical work with the Generalized Method of Moments, which studies sample average prices and discounted payoffs to determine whether price does equal expected discounted payoff. He translates between the discount factor, GMM, and state-space language and the beta, mean-variance, and regression language common in empirical work and earlier theory. The book also includes a review of recent empirical work on return predictability, value and other puzzles in the cross section, and equity premium puzzles and their resolution. Written to be a summary for academics and professionals as well as a textbook, this book condenses and advances recent scholarship in financial economics.

Interest and Prices

Interest and Prices PDF Author: Knut Wicksell
Publisher:
ISBN: 1443722790
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 256

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Book Description
INTEREST AND PRICES Geldzins und Guterpreise A STUDY OF THE CAUSES REGULATING THE VALUE OF MONEY By KNUT WiCKSELL Translated from the German by R. F. KAHN With an Introduction by PROFESSOR BERTIL OIIL1N Published on behalf of the Royal Economic Society by MACMILLAN AND CO., LIMITED ST. MARTINS STREET, LONDON 1936 COPYRIGHT PRINTED IN GREAT BRITAIN BY R. R. CLARK, LIMITED, EDINBURGH TRANSLATORS NOTE I IFAVE to express my sincere thanks to Miss Anna Schwarz schild, who read a portion of the manuscript with great care, and to Dr. Eduard Rosenbaum, who helped me out of many difficulties. The Appendix consists of Wicksells last published article, translated from the original Swedish by Mrs H. Norberg. Wicksells Geldzins und Giiterpreise was published at Jena by Gustav Fischer in 1898. Such footnotes as I have found it necessary to insert are enclosed in square brackets. R. F. K. CONTENTS PAGE INTRODUCTION BY PROFESSOR BERTH, OHLIN . . vii AUTHORS PREFACE ...... xxiii CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTORY ....... 1 CHAPTER 2 PURCHASING POWER or MONEY AND AVERAGE PRICES . 7 CHAPTER 3 RELATIVE PRICES AND MONEY PRICES . . .18 CHAPTER 4 THE SO-CALLED COST OF PRODUCTION THEORY OF MONEY 29 CHAPTER 5 THE QUANTITY THEORY AND ITS OPPONENTS . .38 v vi INTEREST AND PRICES PAQM CHAPTER 6 THE VELOCITY OF CIRCULATION OF MONEY A. A Pure Cash Economy . . . . .51 B. Simple Credit ...... 59 C. An Organised Credit Economy . . . .62 CHAPTER 7 THE RATE OF INTEREST AS REGULATOR OF COMMODITY PRICES A. The Classical Theory and the School of TooJce . . 81 B. Simplest Hypothesis. Variations of the Rate of Interest when the Market Situation Remains otherwise Unaltered 87 CHAPTER 8 THE NATURAL RATE OF INTEREST ON CAPITAL AND THE RATEOF INTEREST ON LOANS . . . .102 CHAPTER 9 SYSTEMATIC EXPOSITION OF THE THEORY . A. The Causes which Determine the Natural Rate of Interest on Capital ....... 122 B. The Use of Money . . . . . .134 CHAPTER 10 INTERNATIONAL PRICE RELATIONSHIPS . . .157 CHAPTER 11 ACTUAL PRICE MOVEMENTS IN THE LIGHT OF THE PRECED ING THEORY . . . . . .165 CHAPTER 12 PRACTICAL PROPOSALS FOR THE STABILISATION OF THE VALUE OF MONEY . . . . . .178 APPENDIX THE MONETARY PROBLEM OF THE SCANDINAVIAN COUN TRIES ........ 197 INTRODUCTION To judge the character and importance of Knut Wicksells monetary doctrines, it is necessary to view them against the background of the monetary controversy of the late nineties. For some decades the organisation of an inter national gold standard had been the outstanding problem. Hardly had this organisation won its victory in the seventies, when its position was threatened by the con tinued fall in wholesale prices. A violent propaganda for bimetallism set in almost everywhere. The character, working, advantages, and disadvantages of this system naturally became the central topic of discussion in the monetary field. The old debate between the currency and the banking schools had died out and the latter un doubtedly held the field. The quantity theory of money was discredited, even in the Anglo-Saxon countries. Most writers agreed that if credits were granted on adequate security in accordance with sound banking principles, the supply of means of payment could not exceed the re quirements of the market. There was no discussion in that connection of the level of bank rate. Two things seem to have caused Wicksell to adopt an entirely different attitude to monetary problems. First ofall, he was a close student and admirer of the English classical school of economists, above all of Ricardo. To Wicksells mathematical mind the quantity theory of money, as presented by Ricardo, made a much stronger appeal than the vague generalisations of the current bank ing discussions, which side-stepped the question Why do prices rise or fall that Wicksell at an early stage came to regard as the main problem of monetary theory...