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Author: Michael A. Alexander
Publisher: iUniverse
ISBN: 0595217117
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 316
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Book Description
Michael Alexander extends his analysis of cycles in the stock market to the last seven centuries of Western social, political and economic history. Alexander presents a series of conceptual models for the Kondratiev economic cycle over time and shows how they describe the interaction between economic, social and political cycles. Emphasis is placed on careful empirical demonstration of the reality of these cycles. Alexander then weaves these cycles together showing that they are deeply related to yet another cycle, the generational cycle identified by William Strauss and Neil Howe. This synthesis is used to project political and economic trends over the next twenty years.
Author: Michael A. Alexander
Publisher: iUniverse
ISBN: 0595217117
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 316
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Book Description
Michael Alexander extends his analysis of cycles in the stock market to the last seven centuries of Western social, political and economic history. Alexander presents a series of conceptual models for the Kondratiev economic cycle over time and shows how they describe the interaction between economic, social and political cycles. Emphasis is placed on careful empirical demonstration of the reality of these cycles. Alexander then weaves these cycles together showing that they are deeply related to yet another cycle, the generational cycle identified by William Strauss and Neil Howe. This synthesis is used to project political and economic trends over the next twenty years.
Author: Nikolaĭ Dmitrievich Kondratʹev
Publisher: [New York] : Richardson & Snyder
ISBN:
Category : Business cycles
Languages : en
Pages : 160
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Book Description
Author: Nikolai D. Kondratieff
Publisher: Ravenio Books
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 20
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Book Description
THE idea that the dynamics of economic life in the capitalistic social order is not of a simple and linear but rather of a complex and cyclical character is nowadays generally recognized. Science, however, has fallen far short of clarifying the nature and the types of these cyclical, wave-like movements. When in economics we speak of cycles, we generally mean seven to eleven year business cycles. But these seven to eleven year movements are obviously not the only type of economic cycles. The dynamics of economic life is in reality more complicated. In addition to the above-mentioned cycles, which we shall agree to call “intermediate,” the existence of still shorter waves of about three and one-half years’ length has recently been shown to be probable. But that is not all. There is, indeed, reason to assume the existence of long waves of an average length of about 50 years in the capitalistic economy, a fact which still further complicates the problem of economic dynamics.
Author: Vincent Barnett
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 1349263273
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 262
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Book Description
Barnett presents the first in-depth analysis in English of the pioneer of long cycle analysis, N.D. Kondratiev (1892-1938), who was a key policy adviser to the Soviet government in the early part of the 1920s. Kondratiev developed a market-led industrialization strategy for the USSR, in direct opposition to Stalin's centrally-planned industrialization programme, and was the director of the Conjuncture Institute, a centre for the study of business cycles and forecasting between 1920 and 1928. It was within the Conjuncture Institute that Kondratiev developed his analysis of long cycles. Barnett covers all aspects of Kondratiev's work.
Author: Leo Nefiodow
Publisher: Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
ISBN: 9781545485149
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 252
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Book Description
What are the major new growth markets of the future? Why do groundbreaking innovations - like the computer, the automobile or the steam engine in the past - increasingly fail to materialize? What are the current growth barriers that hinder the further development of economy and society? The reader will find answers to these questions in this book. The Theory of Long Waves serves as a scientific foundation. In short, it states that economic and social development is significantly determined by periodic cycles that last between 40 and 60 years. In honor of their discoverer Nikolai Kondratieff, these long waves are called Kondratieff cycles. Since the late 18th century, economists have empirically proven five Kondratieff cycles. The long waves have a particularly strategic role: those, who identify the respective current Kondratieff cycle early on are able to focus on the future, to take the lead in economic and social development and benefit the most from its momentum - just like the leading command of information technology during the last, the fifth Kondratieff cycle made full employment and increasing wealth possible for these countries. The sixth Kondratieff cycle has begun with the turn of this century. As the analyses in this book show, health care will be the driving force of this new Kondratieff cycle. However, health is not just seen in a physical, but also in a holistic sense, encompassing the physical, psychological, mental, psycho-mental, social, ecological and spiritual aspects. Why are health expenditures that were previously considered a mere cost factor going to assume the role of a growth locomotive in the future? We need to recall the findings of modern growth theory here: the most important source for economic growth in developed countries is productivity advancements. The analyses in this book show that a new understanding of health is indispensable to improve productivity on all levels of the economy and society. Thanks to this new understanding, health will become a strategic weapon for the next decades. This book is tailored to a general audience, includes 76 graphics and 13 tables and is aimed at stakeholders in economy and society, experts and managers and all those, who are interested in the future. Aside from a profound analysis, the book also describes measures to develop the sixth Kondratieff.
Author: Fred Weekes
Publisher: iUniverse
ISBN: 147595199X
Category : Fiction
Languages : en
Pages : 203
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Book Description
Dmitri Kondratiev has given his name to business cycles. We call the ups and downs "Kondratiev Waves." Other economists have studied the field but Kondratiev made it his career and paid for his dedication with his life, landing on one of Stalin's many lists as individuals to be executed, in his case in the year 1938. The existence of the business cycle is interwoven with the lives of the Doran family. Robinson Doran has retired from a professorship in economics and in a precipitous fashion moves to the country to take up farming. He believes that life as we have known it is coming to an end. Economic life, that is. Robinson's wife, Rose, refuses to move to the country. She takes up with a widower out of loneliness. Their son, Stanton, loses his job on the newspaper but slowly rebuilds his life. Their daughter, Harriet, a medical doctor, saves lives through it all. There is a romantic interest, who happens on Robinson at his farm, providing him company and gardening skills. A new tax code to replace the current one is provided by Robinson and Stanton. The national debt is analyzed. Life in the United States returns to normal after a long decade. The business cycle is never repealed, its place made secure by the vagaries of human beings. Kondratiev lives on.
Author: Nathan Mager
Publisher: Praeger
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 264
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Book Description
A study of the Kondatieff Wave Theory in light of current evidence and experience. The book is aimed at anyone interested in general economic history, economic theory and business cycles, and Kondratieff cultists.
Author: Tessaleno C. Devezas
Publisher: IOS Press
ISBN: 1586035886
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 352
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Book Description
Considerable progress has been made in understanding the underlying mechanisms driving the long-wave behaviour of the world socioeconomic development. A controversial mechanism discussed is the close relationship between K-waves and the outbreak of majors wars.
Author: Leonid E. Grinin
Publisher: ООО "Издательство "Учитель"
ISBN: 5705750811
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 224
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Book Description
Though the researchers of the theory of long and medium-term cycles are certainly worried about the economic situation, they understand that the cyclicity still remains an inevitable attribute of economic development. And Juglar's aphorism that crisis is a consequence of the preceded prosperity is still true. In this third issue of the Yearbook ‘Kondratieff Waves’ with the subtitle ‘Cycles, Crises, and Forecasts’, we present a number of insight contributions on nature, egularities, and interconnections among cycles of different duration. Some economic cycles may result in a severe economic crisis. The current one shows once again the importance of the study of cyclical dynamics and its peculiarities. Between the 1980s and 1990s the Keynesian receipts were replaced by neoliberal and monetarist ones which seemed to be miraculous as well. The depleted growth was marked with the largest global crisis of 2008 which also showed that within globalization when regulation in the international arena is impossible yet, there recur the signs of Juglar cycles of the 19th and first half of the 20th centuries with their uncontrollable upwards and sharp declines evolving into collapses and panic. This is supported by the fact that for eight years the world has been at the depressive phase. This edition will be useful for economists, social scientists, as well as for a wide range of those interested in the problems of the past, present, and future of global economy and globalization. This research has been supported by the Russian Foundation for the Humanities (Project No 16-02-14053 г).
Author: Wolfgang J. M. Drechsler
Publisher: Anthem Press
ISBN: 1843317850
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 443
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Book Description
'Techno-Economic Paradigms' presents a series of essays discussing one of the most interesting and talked-about socio-economic theories of our times: techno-economic paradigm shifts.
