A Decision Framework for Managing the Spirit Lake and Toutle River System at Mount St. Helens

A Decision Framework for Managing the Spirit Lake and Toutle River System at Mount St. Helens PDF Author: National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
Publisher: National Academies Press
ISBN: 0309464447
Category : Nature
Languages : en
Pages : 337

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Book Description
The 1980 eruption of Mount St. Helens in southwest Washington State radically changed the physical and socio-economic landscapes of the region. The eruption destroyed the summit of the volcano, sending large amounts of debris into the North Fork Toutle River, and blocking the sole means of drainage from Spirit Lake 4 miles north of Mount St. Helens. As a result of the blockage, rising lake levels could cause failure of the debris blockage, putting the downstream population of approximately 50,000 at risk of catastrophic flooding and mud flows. Further, continued transport of sediment to the river from volcanic debris deposits surrounding the mountain reduces the flood carrying capacity of downstream river channels and leaves the population vulnerable to chronic flooding. The legacy of the 1980 eruption and the prospect of future volcanic, seismic, and flood events mean that risk management in the Spirit Lake Toutle River system will be challenging for decades to come. This report offers a decision framework to support the long-term management of risks related to the Spirit Lake and Toutle River system in light of the different regional economic, cultural, and social priorities, and the respective roles of federal, tribal, state, and local authorities, as well as other entities and groups in the region. It also considers the history and adequacy of characterization, monitoring, and management associated with the Spirit Lake debris blockage and outflow tunnel, other efforts to control transport of water and sediment from the 1980 and later eruptions, and suggests additional information needed to support implementation of the recommended decision framework.

Making Decisions in Groups

Making Decisions in Groups PDF Author: Dennis S. Gouran
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Education
Languages : en
Pages : 270

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Book Description


The Consequences of Decision-Making

The Consequences of Decision-Making PDF Author: Nils Brunsson
Publisher: OUP Oxford
ISBN: 0191525642
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 176

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Book Description
Nils Brunsson is one of the leading European organization theorists who has written and researched decision-making in organizations. He has often questioned the rationality of decision-making, and argued that it is as important to understand other consequences of decision-making apart from choice - such things as mobilizing action, allocating responsibility, and legitimizing organizations. These consequences of decisions can influence decision-making and the assumptions about feasible norms that provide their context. Decisions often run counter to actions and are part of what Brunsson calls organizational hypocrisy. Decisions can substitute for action, or decrease the probability of the action they call for. The norm of rationality is far from obvious: sometimes decision-makers can recommend systematic irrationality. This book collects together a wide-range of Nils Brunsson's most important writing on decision-making, brought together in one volume for the first time, with an introduction from the author.

Adolescent Decision Making

Adolescent Decision Making PDF Author: National Research Council and Institute of Medicine
Publisher: National Academies Press
ISBN: 0309064791
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 31

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Book Description
Interest in the role that decision making plays in adolescents' involvement in high-risk behaviors led the Office of the Assistant Secretary of Planning and Evaluation of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services to request the Board on Children, Youth, and Families to convene a workshop on adolescent decision making. The Board on Children, Youth, and Families is a joint activity of the National Research Council (NRC) and the Institute of Medicine. A workshop was held on January 6-7, 1998, to examine what is known about adolescents' decision-making skills and the implications of that knowledge for programs to further their healthy development.

The Proactive Leader

The Proactive Leader PDF Author: David De Cremer
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 1137290277
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 189

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Book Description
Too many decisions are taken too slowly or not at all because of the dithering behavior of our leaders, often leading to failure of the project, or worse, the organization. See how procrastination has led to major contemporary leadership failures and learn how to recognize and resolve the problem in yourself and others.

Making Good Choices: Evaluating Consequences

Making Good Choices: Evaluating Consequences PDF Author: Rachael Morlock
Publisher: The Rosen Publishing Group, Inc
ISBN: 1725306786
Category : Juvenile Nonfiction
Languages : en
Pages : 24

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Book Description
Every day, young people make large and small decisions that affect them and the people around them. Evaluating consequences is a critical step in good decision making at any age. Readers will explore strategies for identifying and weighing their options before making a decision. They will be encouraged to look ahead, imagine the consequences of different actions, take the perspective of others, and make the best choice. Familiar scenarios and full-color photographs help readers connect the ideas in the text to their own lives.

Completing the Forecast

Completing the Forecast PDF Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
ISBN: 0309180538
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 124

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Book Description
Uncertainty is a fundamental characteristic of weather, seasonal climate, and hydrological prediction, and no forecast is complete without a description of its uncertainty. Effective communication of uncertainty helps people better understand the likelihood of a particular event and improves their ability to make decisions based on the forecast. Nonetheless, for decades, users of these forecasts have been conditioned to receive incomplete information about uncertainty. They have become used to single-valued (deterministic) forecasts (e.g., "the high temperature will be 70 degrees Farenheit 9 days from now") and applied their own experience in determining how much confidence to place in the forecast. Most forecast products from the public and private sectors, including those from the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration's National Weather Service, continue this deterministic legacy. Fortunately, the National Weather Service and others in the prediction community have recognized the need to view uncertainty as a fundamental part of forecasts. By partnering with other segments of the community to understand user needs, generate relevant and rich informational products, and utilize effective communication vehicles, the National Weather Service can take a leading role in the transition to widespread, effective incorporation of uncertainty information into predictions. "Completing the Forecast" makes recommendations to the National Weather Service and the broader prediction community on how to make this transition.

Bending the Law of Unintended Consequences

Bending the Law of Unintended Consequences PDF Author: Richard M. Adler
Publisher:
ISBN: 9783030327156
Category : Decision making
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description


Decision Making for the Environment

Decision Making for the Environment PDF Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
ISBN: 0309095409
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 297

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Book Description
With the growing number, complexity, and importance of environmental problems come demands to include a full range of intellectual disciplines and scholarly traditions to help define and eventually manage such problems more effectively. Decision Making for the Environment: Social and Behavioral Science Research Priorities is the result of a 2-year effort by 12 social and behavioral scientists, scholars, and practitioners. The report sets research priorities for the social and behavioral sciences as they relate to several different kinds of environmental problems.

The Medical Implications of Nuclear War

The Medical Implications of Nuclear War PDF Author: Fred Solomon
Publisher: National Academies Press
ISBN: 9780309078665
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 609

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Book Description
Written by world-renowned scientists, this volume portrays the possible direct and indirect devastation of human health from a nuclear attack. The most comprehensive work yet produced on this subject, The Medical Implications of Nuclear War includes an overview of the potential environmental and physical effects of nuclear bombardment, describes the problems of choosing who among the injured would get the scarce medical care available, addresses the nuclear arms race from a psychosocial perspective, and reviews the medical needs--in contrast to the medical resources likely to be available--after a nuclear attack. "It should serve as the definitive statement on the consequences of nuclear war."--Arms Control Today