Predictability of Complex Dynamical Systems

Predictability of Complex Dynamical Systems PDF Author: Yurii A. Kravtsov
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642802540
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 233

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Book Description
This is a book book for researchers and practitioners interested in modeling, prediction and forecasting of natural systems based on nonlinear dynamics. It is a practical guide to data analysis and to the development of algorithms, especially for complex systems. Topics such as the characterization of nonlinear correlations in data as dynamical systems, reconstruction of dynamical models from data, nonlinear noise reduction and the limits of predicatability are discussed. The chapters are written by leading experts and consider practical problems such as signal and time series analysis, biomedical data analysis, financial analysis, stochastic modeling, human evolution, and political modeling. The book includes new methods for nonlinear filtering of complex signals, new algorithms for signal classification, and the concept of the "Global Brain".

Predictability of Complex Dynamical Systems

Predictability of Complex Dynamical Systems PDF Author: Yurii A. Kravtsov
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642802540
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 233

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Book Description
This is a book book for researchers and practitioners interested in modeling, prediction and forecasting of natural systems based on nonlinear dynamics. It is a practical guide to data analysis and to the development of algorithms, especially for complex systems. Topics such as the characterization of nonlinear correlations in data as dynamical systems, reconstruction of dynamical models from data, nonlinear noise reduction and the limits of predicatability are discussed. The chapters are written by leading experts and consider practical problems such as signal and time series analysis, biomedical data analysis, financial analysis, stochastic modeling, human evolution, and political modeling. The book includes new methods for nonlinear filtering of complex signals, new algorithms for signal classification, and the concept of the "Global Brain".

Foundations of Complex Systems

Foundations of Complex Systems PDF Author: Gregoire Nicolis
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 981277565X
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 343

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Book Description
A geometric process is a simple monotone process that was first introduced by the author in 1988. It is a generalization of renewal process. This book captures the extensive research work on geometric processes that has been done since then in both probability and statistics theory and various applications. Some results are published for the first time. A reference book for researchers and a handbook for practioners, it is also a useful textbook for postgraduate or senior undergraduate students.

Predictability of Chaotic Dynamics

Predictability of Chaotic Dynamics PDF Author: Juan C. Vallejo
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319518933
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 136

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Book Description
This book is primarily concerned with the computational aspects of predictability of dynamical systems – in particular those where observation, modeling and computation are strongly interdependent. Unlike with physical systems under control in laboratories, for instance in celestial mechanics, one is confronted with the observation and modeling of systems without the possibility of altering the key parameters of the objects studied. Therefore, the numerical simulations offer an essential tool for analyzing these systems. With the widespread use of computer simulations to solve complex dynamical systems, the reliability of the numerical calculations is of ever-increasing interest and importance. This reliability is directly related to the regularity and instability properties of the modeled flow. In this interdisciplinary scenario, the underlying physics provide the simulated models, nonlinear dynamics provides their chaoticity and instability properties, and the computer sciences provide the actual numerical implementation. This book introduces and explores precisely this link between the models and their predictability characterization based on concepts derived from the field of nonlinear dynamics, with a focus on the finite-time Lyapunov exponents approach. The method is illustrated using a number of well-known continuous dynamical systems, including the Contopoulos, Hénon-Heiles and Rössler systems. To help students and newcomers quickly learn to apply these techniques, the appendix provides descriptions of the algorithms used throughout the text and details how to implement them in order to solve a given continuous dynamical system.

Dynamics Of Complex Systems

Dynamics Of Complex Systems PDF Author: Yaneer Bar-yam
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 0429717598
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 866

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Book Description
This book aims to develop models and modeling techniques that are useful when applied to all complex systems. It adopts both analytic tools and computer simulation. The book is intended for students and researchers with a variety of backgrounds.

Foundations of Complex Systems

Foundations of Complex Systems PDF Author: G. Nicolis
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9814366617
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 384

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Book Description
This book provides a self-contained presentation of the physical and mathematical laws governing complex systems. Complex systems arising in natural, engineering, environmental, life and social sciences are approached from a unifying point of view using an array of methodologies such as microscopic and macroscopic level formulations, deterministic and probabilistic tools, modeling and simulation. The book can be used as a textbook by graduate students, researchers and teachers in science, as well as non-experts who wish to have an overview of one of the most open, markedly interdisciplinary and fast-growing branches of present-day science.

Stochastic Methods for Modeling and Predicting Complex Dynamical Systems

Stochastic Methods for Modeling and Predicting Complex Dynamical Systems PDF Author: Nan Chen
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3031222490
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 208

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Book Description
This book enables readers to understand, model, and predict complex dynamical systems using new methods with stochastic tools. The author presents a unique combination of qualitative and quantitative modeling skills, novel efficient computational methods, rigorous mathematical theory, as well as physical intuitions and thinking. An emphasis is placed on the balance between computational efficiency and modeling accuracy, providing readers with ideas to build useful models in practice. Successful modeling of complex systems requires a comprehensive use of qualitative and quantitative modeling approaches, novel efficient computational methods, physical intuitions and thinking, as well as rigorous mathematical theories. As such, mathematical tools for understanding, modeling, and predicting complex dynamical systems using various suitable stochastic tools are presented. Both theoretical and numerical approaches are included, allowing readers to choose suitable methods in different practical situations. The author provides practical examples and motivations when introducing various mathematical and stochastic tools and merges mathematics, statistics, information theory, computational science, and data science. In addition, the author discusses how to choose and apply suitable mathematical tools to several disciplines including pure and applied mathematics, physics, engineering, neural science, material science, climate and atmosphere, ocean science, and many others. Readers will not only learn detailed techniques for stochastic modeling and prediction, but will develop their intuition as well. Important topics in modeling and prediction including extreme events, high-dimensional systems, and multiscale features are discussed.

Mathematics of Complexity and Dynamical Systems

Mathematics of Complexity and Dynamical Systems PDF Author: Robert A. Meyers
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1461418054
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 1885

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Book Description
Mathematics of Complexity and Dynamical Systems is an authoritative reference to the basic tools and concepts of complexity, systems theory, and dynamical systems from the perspective of pure and applied mathematics. Complex systems are systems that comprise many interacting parts with the ability to generate a new quality of collective behavior through self-organization, e.g. the spontaneous formation of temporal, spatial or functional structures. These systems are often characterized by extreme sensitivity to initial conditions as well as emergent behavior that are not readily predictable or even completely deterministic. The more than 100 entries in this wide-ranging, single source work provide a comprehensive explication of the theory and applications of mathematical complexity, covering ergodic theory, fractals and multifractals, dynamical systems, perturbation theory, solitons, systems and control theory, and related topics. Mathematics of Complexity and Dynamical Systems is an essential reference for all those interested in mathematical complexity, from undergraduate and graduate students up through professional researchers.

Complex Dynamical Systems in Education

Complex Dynamical Systems in Education PDF Author: Matthijs Koopmans
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319275771
Category : Education
Languages : en
Pages : 412

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Book Description
This book capitalizes on the developments in dynamical systems and education by presenting some of the most recent advances in this area in seventeen non-overlapping chapters. The first half of the book discusses the conceptual framework of complex dynamical systems and its applicability to educational processes. The second half presents a set of empirical studies that that illustrate the use of various research methodologies to investigate complex dynamical processes in education, and help the reader appreciate what we learn about dynamical processes in education from using these approaches.

Complex and Adaptive Dynamical Systems

Complex and Adaptive Dynamical Systems PDF Author: Claudius Gros
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642047068
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 335

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Book Description
Discover a wide range of findings in quantitative complex system science that help us make sense of our complex world. Written at an introductory level, the book provides an accessible entry into this fascinating and vitally important subject.

Philosophy of Complex Systems

Philosophy of Complex Systems PDF Author:
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 9780080931227
Category : Philosophy
Languages : en
Pages : 952

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Book Description
The domain of nonlinear dynamical systems and its mathematical underpinnings has been developing exponentially for a century, the last 35 years seeing an outpouring of new ideas and applications and a concomitant confluence with ideas of complex systems and their applications from irreversible thermodynamics. A few examples are in meteorology, ecological dynamics, and social and economic dynamics. These new ideas have profound implications for our understanding and practice in domains involving complexity, predictability and determinism, equilibrium, control, planning, individuality, responsibility and so on. Our intention is to draw together in this volume, we believe for the first time, a comprehensive picture of the manifold philosophically interesting impacts of recent developments in understanding nonlinear systems and the unique aspects of their complexity. The book will focus specifically on the philosophical concepts, principles, judgments and problems distinctly raised by work in the domain of complex nonlinear dynamical systems, especially in recent years. -Comprehensive coverage of all main theories in the philosophy of Complex Systems -Clearly written expositions of fundamental ideas and concepts -Definitive discussions by leading researchers in the field -Summaries of leading-edge research in related fields are also included