Models of Futures Markets

Models of Futures Markets PDF Author: Barry Goss
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1135639361
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 186

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Book Description
This volume presents an entirely new analysis of the economics of futures markets, that will be of interest to both specialists in the area and the generalist economist seeking a new perspective. Through a combination of theoretical investigation and empirical application, three important themes are explored: the gains from futures trading and the efforts of emerging markets to reap these benefits; rationality and rival hypotheses of trader behaviour, such as noise trading; and the effect of regulatory tools on price formation.

Models of Futures Markets

Models of Futures Markets PDF Author: Barry Goss
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1135639361
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 186

Get Book

Book Description
This volume presents an entirely new analysis of the economics of futures markets, that will be of interest to both specialists in the area and the generalist economist seeking a new perspective. Through a combination of theoretical investigation and empirical application, three important themes are explored: the gains from futures trading and the efforts of emerging markets to reap these benefits; rationality and rival hypotheses of trader behaviour, such as noise trading; and the effect of regulatory tools on price formation.

Models of Futures Markets

Models of Futures Markets PDF Author: B. A. Goss
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Futures market
Languages : en
Pages : 170

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Book Description


Modeling and Pricing in Financial Markets for Weather Derivatives

Modeling and Pricing in Financial Markets for Weather Derivatives PDF Author: Fred Espen Benth
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9814401846
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 255

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Book Description
Weather derivatives provide a tool for weather risk management, and the markets for these exotic financial products are gradually emerging in size and importance. This unique monograph presents a unified approach to the modeling and analysis of such weather derivatives, including financial contracts on temperature, wind and rain. Based on a deep statistical analysis of weather factors, sophisticated stochastic processes are introduced modeling the time and space dynamics. Applying ideas from the modern theory of mathematical finance, weather derivatives are priced, and questions of hedging analyzed. The treatise contains an in-depth analysis of typical weather contracts traded at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), including so-called CDD and HDD futures. The statistical analysis of weather variables are based on a large data set from Lithuania. The monograph includes the research done by the authors over the last decade on weather markets. Their work has gained considerable attention, and has been applied in many contexts.

Futures Markets (Routledge Revivals)

Futures Markets (Routledge Revivals) PDF Author: Barry Goss
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1135047502
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 227

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Book Description
First published in 1986, this book discusses many important aspects of the theory and practice of Futures Markets. It describes how they, at the time, grew to be an increasingly important feature of the world's major financial centres. Indeed, they adopted the role of being efficient forward pricing mechanisms and this was reflected by the interest of economists in the study of risk, uncertainty and information. Here, the contributors focus on areas that were of concern in the late 1980s such as feasibility, forward pricing and returns, and the modelling of price determination in Futures Markets. Evidence is drawn from twenty-five different commodities representing all the major commodity groups; and from all the world's major centres of Futures Trading.

Commodity Price Dynamics

Commodity Price Dynamics PDF Author: Craig Pirrong
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1139501976
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 238

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Book Description
Commodities have become an important component of many investors' portfolios and the focus of much political controversy over the past decade. This book utilizes structural models to provide a better understanding of how commodities' prices behave and what drives them. It exploits differences across commodities and examines a variety of predictions of the models to identify where they work and where they fail. The findings of the analysis are useful to scholars, traders and policy makers who want to better understand often puzzling - and extreme - movements in the prices of commodities from aluminium to oil to soybeans to zinc.

Beating the Financial Futures Market

Beating the Financial Futures Market PDF Author: Art Collins
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470074329
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 276

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Book Description
Beating the Financial Futures Market provides you with a straightforward, historically proven program to cut through the noise, determine what bits of information are valuable, and integrate those bits into an overall trading program designed to jump on lucrative trading opportunities as they occur. It will help you improve both your percentage of winning trades and the bottom line profitability of those winning trades.

An Engine, Not a Camera

An Engine, Not a Camera PDF Author: Donald MacKenzie
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 0262250047
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 782

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Book Description
In An Engine, Not a Camera, Donald MacKenzie argues that the emergence of modern economic theories of finance affected financial markets in fundamental ways. These new, Nobel Prize-winning theories, based on elegant mathematical models of markets, were not simply external analyses but intrinsic parts of economic processes. Paraphrasing Milton Friedman, MacKenzie says that economic models are an engine of inquiry rather than a camera to reproduce empirical facts. More than that, the emergence of an authoritative theory of financial markets altered those markets fundamentally. For example, in 1970, there was almost no trading in financial derivatives such as "futures." By June of 2004, derivatives contracts totaling $273 trillion were outstanding worldwide. MacKenzie suggests that this growth could never have happened without the development of theories that gave derivatives legitimacy and explained their complexities. MacKenzie examines the role played by finance theory in the two most serious crises to hit the world's financial markets in recent years: the stock market crash of 1987 and the market turmoil that engulfed the hedge fund Long-Term Capital Management in 1998. He also looks at finance theory that is somewhat beyond the mainstream—chaos theorist Benoit Mandelbrot's model of "wild" randomness. MacKenzie's pioneering work in the social studies of finance will interest anyone who wants to understand how America's financial markets have grown into their current form.

The Economic Function of Futures Markets

The Economic Function of Futures Markets PDF Author: Jeffrey Williams
Publisher: CUP Archive
ISBN: 9780521389341
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 276

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Book Description
This book offers an explanation of why commodity processors and dealers use futures markets. It argues that they use futures contracts as part of an implicit method of borrowing and lending commodities, contrary to the accepted view of dealers averse to the fluctuating value of their inventories wanting insurance against price risk. Employing models developed to explain the demand for money, this book demonstrates that risk-neutral dealers have sufficient reason to use futures markets. Moreover, the book exposes major internal inconsistencies in the accepted explanation. Rather than insurance markets, the appropriate analogy is the money market, which is the point the book establishes through discussing actual loan markets in commodities. This insight into the function of futures markets is then used to explain how futures prices for different delivery dates express a term structure of commodity-specific interest rates and why futures markets flourish for some types of commodities and not for others.

Do Commodity Futures Help Forecast Spot Prices?

Do Commodity Futures Help Forecast Spot Prices? PDF Author: Mr.David A Reichsfeld
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1463923899
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 27

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Book Description
We assess the spot price forecasting performance of 10 commodity futures at various horizons up to two years and test whether this performance is affected by market conditions. We reject efficient markets based on in-sample tests but, out-of-sample, we find that the forecast from the futures market is hard to beat. We find that the forecasting performance of futures does not depend on the slope of the futures curve, in contrast to the predictions of well-known models of commodity markets. We also find futures' forecasting performance to be invariant to whether prices are in an upswing or downswing, casting doubt on aspersions that uninformed investors participating during bull markets impede the price discovery process.

Understanding Futures Markets

Understanding Futures Markets PDF Author: Robert Kolb
Publisher: Wiley-Blackwell
ISBN: 1405134038
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 624

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Book Description
Now in its sixth edition, Understanding Futures Markets by Robert Kolb (University of Colorado) and James Overdahl (Chief Economist of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission) provides the most comprehensive coverage of futures markets available. This new edition features updated and enhanced discussions on: event markets, proposition markets, weather futures, and macro futures globalization of futures markets electronic trading platforms and the rise of electronic trading manipulation of futures markets and methods of deterrence The Commodity Futures Modernization Act of 2000 and its effect on market regulation hedging in a corporate environment uses of futures by government entities energy futures products recent fiascos involving energy futures and related derivatives single stock futures products and narrow-based stock index futures accounting and taxation features of futures markets. Clearly written and accessible, this is the authoritative text for students and practitioners alike looking for an in-depth treatment of futures markets.