Is the Parallel Market Premium a Reliable Indicator of Real Exchange Rate Misalignment in Developing Countries PDF Download
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Author: Mr.Peter Montiel
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451960352
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 26
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Book Description
It is often argued that the parallel market premium is a useful indicator of real exchange rate misalignment in developing countries. The empirical evidence does not, however, suggest the existence of a robust correlation between these two endogenous variables that is independent of the nature of economic shocks and various structural relationships in the economy. This paper presents an analytical investigation of the reliability of the parallel market premium as an indicator of real exchange rate misalignment in the context of a fully optimizing model of a developing country. The analysis suggests that one should exercise caution in drawing inferences about the sign and magnitude of real exchange rate misalignment from the parallel market premium.
Author: Mr.Peter Montiel
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451960352
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 26
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Book Description
It is often argued that the parallel market premium is a useful indicator of real exchange rate misalignment in developing countries. The empirical evidence does not, however, suggest the existence of a robust correlation between these two endogenous variables that is independent of the nature of economic shocks and various structural relationships in the economy. This paper presents an analytical investigation of the reliability of the parallel market premium as an indicator of real exchange rate misalignment in the context of a fully optimizing model of a developing country. The analysis suggests that one should exercise caution in drawing inferences about the sign and magnitude of real exchange rate misalignment from the parallel market premium.
Author: Peter J. Montiel
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 26
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Book Description
It is often argued that the parallel market premium is a useful indicator of real exchange rate misalignment in developing countries. The empirical evidence does not, however, suggest the existence of a robust correlation between these two endogenous variables that is independent of the nature of economic shocks and various structural relationships in the economy. This paper presents an analytical investigation of the reliability of the parallel market premium as an indicator of real exchange rate misalignment in the context of a fully optimizing model of a developing country. The analysis suggests that one should exercise caution in drawing inferences about the sign and magnitude of real exchange rate misalignment from the parallel market premium.
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 9781557759801
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 144
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Book Description
Research activity in the IMF emphasizes the links between the organization's policy and operational concerns. The main objectives of research is IMF staff understanding of policy and operational issues relevant to the institution, and to improve the analytical quality of the work prepared for management and the Executive Board and the advice provided to member countries. The scope of research in the IMF is defined by the purposes and functions of the institution. In order to foster innovation and ensure quality control, the IMF makes much of its research available outside the institution and encourages staff to interact with academia and other research organizations through conferences, seminars, and occasional joint research projects. The visiting scholar’s program has also enhanced the quality of research done in the IMF. This program brings in leading members of the economics profession from around the world to assist in the preparation of papers for the Executive Board and to conduct research on IMF-related issues.
Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451930887
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 176
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Book Description
The paper presents a model of optimum currency areas using a general equilibrium approach with regionally differentiated goods. The choice of a currency union depends upon the size of the underlying disturbances, the correlation between these disturbances, the costs of transactions across currencies, factor mobility across regions, and the interrelationships between demand for different goods. It is found that, while a currency union can raise the welfare of the regions within the union, it unambiguously lowers welfare for those outside the union. [JEL F33, F36]
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 9781557758606
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 124
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Book Description
A selective index of major research papers prepared by IMF staff in 1991-98.
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451943229
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 52
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Book Description
The paper reviews recent theoretical and empirical developments in the analysis of informal currency markets in developing countries. The basic characteristics of these markets are highlighted, and alternative analytical models to explain them are discussed. The implications for exchange rate policy —including imposition of foreign exchange restrictions, devaluation, and unification of exchange markets— in countries with a sizable parallel market are also examined.
Author: Salvatore Zecchini
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 940115368X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 598
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Book Description
An attentive reader embarking on this book might wonder what "the" economic transition to which the title refers might be. In this century almost all countries have gone through periods of economic transition; but which period of economic history can claim to embody the notion or to represent the era of "the" transition? Definitely, no country or group of countries has experienced anything comparable to the economic upheavals that the fall of communism has brought about in a large portion of the world in just three years (1989 to 1991). No other "transition" to date has prompted more interest and more studies among economists, academics and policy-makers than has the transformation of centrally planned economies into market-based systems. It is this transformation that has come to define "the" transition. Early in the transformation process (in November 1990), with the support of the Centre for Co-operation with the Economies in Transition (CCET), I launched a conference to examine the challenges faced by these countries. About six years have gone by and a new economic landscape has emerged in that part of the world. The difficulties in transforming these economies have exceeded all expectations, and economic performances have varied considerably across countries. The time has come, therefore, to make a first evaluation of progress and problems, with a view to extracting useful policy lessons to guide policy-makers in successfully completing the transition in the near future.
Author: Kidane Mengisteab
Publisher: Africa World Press
ISBN: 9780865435599
Category : Africa, Sub-Saharan
Languages : en
Pages : 242
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Book Description
African economies are the most dependent and the most marginalised in the global system. Prevailing policies to integrate these economies more closely with the global economy are, in the view of many misplaced and this work presents a series of alternative strategies that will tap the energies of the African people to develop their own potential and reduce their dependence on World Bank/IMF-led approaches.
Author: Sebastian Edwards
Publisher: Johns Hopkins University Press
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 110
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Book Description
This article analyzes the theory of equilibrium real exchange rates and defines misalignment as a deviation of the real exchange rate (RER) from its equilibrium level. The role of macroeconomic policies is then analyzed under three alternative nominal exchange rate regimes: predetermined nominal exchange rates; floating nominal rates; and dual or black market nominal exchange rates. This discussion points out how inconsistent macroeconomic policies often lead to real exchange rate misalignment. Corrective measures, including nominal devaluation and several alternative approaches, are then evaluated.
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Finance
Languages : en
Pages : 594
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Book Description
