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Author: Michael P. Clements
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 9780262531894
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 398
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Book Description
This text on economic forecasting asks why some practices seem to work empirically despite a lack of formal support from theory. After reviewing the conventional approach to forecasting, it looks at the implications for causal modelling, presents forecast errors and delineates sources of failure.
Author: Michael P. Clements
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 9780262531894
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 398
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Book Description
This text on economic forecasting asks why some practices seem to work empirically despite a lack of formal support from theory. After reviewing the conventional approach to forecasting, it looks at the implications for causal modelling, presents forecast errors and delineates sources of failure.
Author: S. Burke
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 0230005780
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 253
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Book Description
Co-integration, equilibrium and equilibrium correction are key concepts in modern applications of econometrics to real world problems. This book provides direction and guidance to the now vast literature facing students and graduate economists. Econometric theory is linked to practical issues such as how to identify equilibrium relationships, how to deal with structural breaks associated with regime changes and what to do when variables are of different orders of integration.
Author: John Hunter
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 113731303X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 502
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Book Description
This book examines conventional time series in the context of stationary data prior to a discussion of cointegration, with a focus on multivariate models. The authors provide a detailed and extensive study of impulse responses and forecasting in the stationary and non-stationary context, considering small sample correction, volatility and the impact of different orders of integration. Models with expectations are considered along with alternate methods such as Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA), the Kalman Filter and Structural Time Series, all in relation to cointegration. Using single equations methods to develop topics, and as examples of the notion of cointegration, Burke, Hunter, and Canepa provide direction and guidance to the now vast literature facing students and graduate economists.
Author: Michael Clements
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521634809
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 402
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Book Description
An extended formal analysis of economic forecasting co-authored by one of the world's leading econometricians.
Author: Rob J Hyndman
Publisher: OTexts
ISBN: 0987507117
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 380
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Book Description
Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.
Author: Clive William John Granger
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 528
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Book Description
This book has been updated to reflect developments in time series analysis and forecasting theory and practice, particularly as applied to economics. The second edition pays attention to such problems as how to evaluate and compare forecasts.
Author: Philip Hans Franses
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1139952129
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 304
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Book Description
With a new author team contributing decades of practical experience, this fully updated and thoroughly classroom-tested second edition textbook prepares students and practitioners to create effective forecasting models and master the techniques of time series analysis. Taking a practical and example-driven approach, this textbook summarises the most critical decisions, techniques and steps involved in creating forecasting models for business and economics. Students are led through the process with an entirely new set of carefully developed theoretical and practical exercises. Chapters examine the key features of economic time series, univariate time series analysis, trends, seasonality, aberrant observations, conditional heteroskedasticity and ARCH models, non-linearity and multivariate time series, making this a complete practical guide. Downloadable datasets are available online.
Author: Heidy M. Mader
Publisher: Geological Society of London
ISBN: 9781862392083
Category : Nature
Languages : en
Pages : 304
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Book Description
Statistics in Volcanology is a comprehensive guide to modern statistical methods applied in volcanology written by today's leading authorities. The volume aims to show how the statistical analysis of complex volcanological data sets, including time series, and numerical models of volcanic processes can improve our ability to forecast volcanic eruptions. Specific topics include the use of expert elicitation and Bayesian methods in eruption forecasting, statistical models of temporal and spatial patterns of volcanic activity, analysis of time series in volcano seismology, probabilistic hazard assessment, and assessment of numerical models using robust statistical methods. Also provided are comprehensive overviews of volcanic phenomena, and a full glossary of both volcanological and statistical terms. Statistics in Volcanology is essential reading for advanced undergraduates, graduate students, and research scientists interested in this multidisciplinary field.
Author: Hargreaves Colin P.
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
Author: Colin P. Hargreaves
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 336
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Book Description
Nonstationary Time Series Analysis and Cointegration shows major developments in the econometric analysis of the long run (of nonstationarity and cointegration) - a field which has developed dramatically over the last twelve years to have a profound effect on econometric analysis in general. The papers here describe and evaluate new methods, provide useful overviews, and show detailed implementations helpful to practitioners. Papers include two substantive analyses of economic forecasting, based around an integral understanding of integration and cointegration and an evaluation of real business cycle models. There is an evaluation of different cointegration estimators and a new test for cointegration. There is a discussion of the effects of seasonality, looking at seasonal unit roots and at encompassing modelling with seasonally unadjusted versus adjusted data. A different style of nonstationarity is raised in a discussion of testing for inflationary bubbles and for time-varying transition probabilities in Hamilton's Markov switching model. This volume provides wide-ranging coverage of the literature, showing the importance of nonstationarity and cointegration.
