Change, Choice and Inference

Change, Choice and Inference PDF Author: Hans Rott
Publisher: Clarendon Press
ISBN: 9780198503064
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 404

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Book Description
This work develops logical theories necessary to understand adaptable human reasoning & the design ofintelligent systems. It unifies lively & significant strands of research in logic, philosophy, economics & artificial intelligence.

Change, Choice and Inference

Change, Choice and Inference PDF Author: Hans Rott
Publisher: Clarendon Press
ISBN: 9780198503064
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 404

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Book Description
This work develops logical theories necessary to understand adaptable human reasoning & the design ofintelligent systems. It unifies lively & significant strands of research in logic, philosophy, economics & artificial intelligence.

Inference for Change Point and Post Change Means After a CUSUM Test

Inference for Change Point and Post Change Means After a CUSUM Test PDF Author: Yanhong Wu
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 0387262695
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 158

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Book Description
The main emphasis is on the inference problem for the change point and post-change parameters after a change has been detected. More specifically, due to the convenient form and statistical properties, the author concentrates on the CUSUM procedure. The goal is to provide some quantitative evaluations on the statistical properties of estimators on the change point and post-change parameters.

Model Selection and Multimodel Inference

Model Selection and Multimodel Inference PDF Author: Kenneth P. Burnham
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 0387224564
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 488

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Book Description
A unique and comprehensive text on the philosophy of model-based data analysis and strategy for the analysis of empirical data. The book introduces information theoretic approaches and focuses critical attention on a priori modeling and the selection of a good approximating model that best represents the inference supported by the data. It contains several new approaches to estimating model selection uncertainty and incorporating selection uncertainty into estimates of precision. An array of examples is given to illustrate various technical issues. The text has been written for biologists and statisticians using models for making inferences from empirical data.

Inference, Method and Decision

Inference, Method and Decision PDF Author: R.D. Rosenkrantz
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9401012377
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 281

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Book Description
This book grew out of previously published papers of mine composed over a period of years; they have been reworked (sometimes beyond recognition) so as to form a reasonably coherent whole. Part One treats of informative inference. I argue (Chapter 2) that the traditional principle of induction in its clearest formulation (that laws are confirmed by their positive cases) is clearly false. Other formulations in terms of the 'uniformity of nature' or the 'resemblance of the future to the past' seem to me hopelessly unclear. From a Bayesian point of view, 'learning from experience' goes by conditionalization (Bayes' rule). The traditional stum bling block for Bayesians has been to fmd objective probability inputs to conditionalize upon. Subjective Bayesians allow any probability inputs that do not violate the usual axioms of probability. Many subjectivists grant that this liberality seems prodigal but own themselves unable to think of additional constraints that might plausibly be imposed. To be sure, if we could agree on the correct probabilistic representation of 'ignorance' (or absence of pertinent data), then all probabilities obtained by applying Bayes' rule to an 'informationless' prior would be objective. But familiar contra dictions, like the Bertrand paradox, are thought to vitiate all attempts to objectify 'ignorance'. BuUding on the earlier work of Sir Harold Jeffreys, E. T. Jaynes, and the more recent work ofG. E. P. Box and G. E. Tiao, I have elected to bite this bullet. In Chapter 3, I develop and defend an objectivist Bayesian approach.

A Logical Theory of Nonmonotonic Inference and Belief Change

A Logical Theory of Nonmonotonic Inference and Belief Change PDF Author: Alexander Bochman
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3662045605
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 439

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Book Description
This is the first book that integrates nonmonotonic reasoning and belief change into a single framework from an artificial intelligence logic point-of-view. The approach to both these subjects is based on a powerful notion of an epistemic state that subsumes both existing models for nonmonotonic inference and current models for belief change. Many results and constructions in the book are completely new and have not appeared earlier in the literature.

Behavioral Social Choice

Behavioral Social Choice PDF Author: Michel Regenwetter
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 0521829682
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 21

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Book Description
Behavioral Social Choice looks at the probabilistic foundations of collective decision-making rules. The authors challenge much of the existing theoretical wisdom about social choice processes, and seek to restore faith in the possibility of democratic decision-making. In particular, they argue that worries about the supposed prevalence of majority rule cycles that would preclude groups from reaching a final decision about what alternative they prefer have been greatly overstated. In practice, majority rule can be expected to work well in most real-world settings. They provide new insights into how alternative model specifications can change our estimates of social orderings.

Statistical Theory and Inference

Statistical Theory and Inference PDF Author: David J. Olive
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319049720
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 434

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Book Description
This text is for a one semester graduate course in statistical theory and covers minimal and complete sufficient statistics, maximum likelihood estimators, method of moments, bias and mean square error, uniform minimum variance estimators and the Cramer-Rao lower bound, an introduction to large sample theory, likelihood ratio tests and uniformly most powerful tests and the Neyman Pearson Lemma. A major goal of this text is to make these topics much more accessible to students by using the theory of exponential families. Exponential families, indicator functions and the support of the distribution are used throughout the text to simplify the theory. More than 50 ``brand name" distributions are used to illustrate the theory with many examples of exponential families, maximum likelihood estimators and uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimators. There are many homework problems with over 30 pages of solutions.

Knowledge Science, Engineering and Management

Knowledge Science, Engineering and Management PDF Author: Songmao Zhang
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319251597
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 858

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Book Description
This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Knowledge Science, Engineering and Management, KSEM 2015, held in Chongqing, China, in October 2015. The 57 revised full papers presented together with 22 short papers and 5 keynotes were carefully selected and reviewed from 247 submissions. The papers are organized in topical sections on formal reasoning and ontologies; knowledge management and concept analysis; knowledge discovery and recognition methods; text mining and analysis; recommendation algorithms and systems; machine learning algorithms; detection methods and analysis; classification and clustering; mobile data analytics and knowledge management; bioinformatics and computational biology; and evidence theory and its application.

Machine Learning Proceedings 1989

Machine Learning Proceedings 1989 PDF Author: Machine Learning
Publisher: Morgan Kaufmann
ISBN: 1483297403
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 510

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Book Description
Machine Learning Proceedings 1989

Logic and the Foundations of Game and Decision Theory - LOFT 8

Logic and the Foundations of Game and Decision Theory - LOFT 8 PDF Author: Giacomo Bonanno
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642151639
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 219

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Book Description
This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Logic and the Foundations of the Theory of Game and Decision Theory, LOFT8 2008, held in Amsterdam, The Netherlands, July 2008. This volume is based on a selection of the presented papers and invited talks. They survived a thorough and lengthy reviewing process. The LOFT conferences are interdisciplinary events that bring together researchers from a variety of fields: computer science, economics, game theory, linguistics, logic, multi-agent systems, psychology, philosophy, social choice and statistics. Its focus is on the general issue of rationality and agency. The papers collected in this volume reflect the contemporary interests and interdisciplinary scope of the LOFT conferences.