An Experiment in the Application of Climate Forecasts

An Experiment in the Application of Climate Forecasts PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Climatic changes
Languages : en
Pages : 140

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Book Description

An Experiment in the Application of Climate Forecasts

An Experiment in the Application of Climate Forecasts PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Climatic changes
Languages : en
Pages : 140

Get Book

Book Description


Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction

Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction PDF Author: Andrew Robertson
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 012811715X
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 585

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Book Description
The Gap Between Weather and Climate Forecasting: Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction is an ideal reference for researchers and practitioners across the range of disciplines involved in the science, modeling, forecasting and application of this new frontier in sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) prediction. It provides an accessible, yet rigorous, introduction to the scientific principles and sources of predictability through the unique challenges of numerical simulation and forecasting with state-of-science modeling codes and supercomputers. Additional coverage includes the prospects for developing applications to trigger early action decisions to lessen weather catastrophes, minimize costly damage, and optimize operator decisions. The book consists of a set of contributed chapters solicited from experts and leaders in the fields of S2S predictability science, numerical modeling, operational forecasting, and developing application sectors. The introduction and conclusion, written by the co-editors, provides historical perspective, unique synthesis and prospects, and emerging opportunities in this exciting, complex and interdisciplinary field. Contains contributed chapters from leaders and experts in sub-seasonal to seasonal science, forecasting and applications Provides a one-stop shop for graduate students, academic and applied researchers, and practitioners in an emerging and interdisciplinary field Offers a synthesis of the state of S2S science through the use of concrete examples, enabling potential users of S2S forecasts to quickly grasp the potential for application in their own decision-making Includes a broad set of topics, illustrated with graphic examples, that highlight interdisciplinary linkages

Making Climate Forecasts Matter

Making Climate Forecasts Matter PDF Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
ISBN: 0309064759
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 190

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Book Description
El Nino has been with us for centuries, but now we can forcast it, and thus can prepare far in advance for the extreme climatic events it brings. The emerging ability to forecast climate may be of tremendous value to humanity if we learn how to use the information well. How does society cope with seasonal-to-interannual climatic variations? How have climate forecasts been usedâ€"and how useful have they been? What kinds of forecast information are needed? Who is likely to benefit from forecasting skill? What are the benefits of better forecasting? This book reviews what we know about these and other questions and identifies research directions toward more useful seasonal-to-interannual climate forecasts. In approaching their recommendations, the panel explores: Vulnerability of human activities to climate. State of the science of climate forecasting. How societies coevolved with their climates and cope with variations in climate. How climate information should be disseminated to achieve the best response. How we can use forecasting to better manage the human consequences of climate change.

Satellite Observations of the Earth's Environment

Satellite Observations of the Earth's Environment PDF Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
ISBN: 030908749X
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 182

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Book Description
This report addresses the transition of research satellites, instruments, and calculations into operational service for accurately observing and predicting the Earth's environment. These transitions, which take place in large part between NASA and NOAA, are important for maintaining the health, safety, and prosperity of the nation, and for achieving the vision of an Earth Information System in which quantitative information about the complete Earth system is readily available to myriad users. Many transitions have been ad hoc, sometimes taking several years or even decades to occur, and others have encountered roadblocksâ€"lack of long-range planning, resources, institutional or cultural differences, for instanceâ€"and never reached fruition. Satellite Observations of Earth's Environment recommends new structures and methods that will allow seamless transitions from research to practice.

Economic Value of Weather and Climate Forecasts

Economic Value of Weather and Climate Forecasts PDF Author: Richard W. Katz (ed)
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 0521434203
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 239

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Book Description
Weather and climate extremes can significantly impact the economics of a region. This book examines how weather and climate forecasts can be used to mitigate the impact of the weather on the economy. Interdisciplinary in scope, it explores the meteorological, economic, psychological, and statistical aspects to weather prediction. The contributors encompass forecasts over a wide range of temporal scales, from weather over the next few hours to the climate months or seasons ahead, and address the impact of these forecasts on human behaviour. Economic Value of Weather and Climate Forecasts seeks to determine the economic benefits of existing weather forecasting systems and the incremental benefits of improving these systems, and will be an interesting and essential reference for economists, statisticians, and meteorologists.

Decision-support Experiments and Evaluations Using Seasonal-to-interannual Forecasts and Observational Data

Decision-support Experiments and Evaluations Using Seasonal-to-interannual Forecasts and Observational Data PDF Author: Nancy Kay Beller-Simms
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Climatic changes
Languages : en
Pages : 208

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Book Description


Extremes in a Changing Climate

Extremes in a Changing Climate PDF Author: Amir AghaKouchak
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9400744781
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 430

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Book Description
This book provides a collection of the state-of-the-art methodologies and approaches suggested for detecting extremes, trend analysis, accounting for nonstationarities, and uncertainties associated with extreme value analysis in a changing climate. This volume is designed so that it can be used as the primary reference on the available methodologies for analysis of climate extremes. Furthermore, the book addresses current hydrometeorologic global data sets and their applications for global scale analysis of extremes. While the main objective is to deliver recent theoretical concepts, several case studies on extreme climate conditions are provided. Audience The book is suitable for teaching in graduate courses in the disciplines of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Earth System Science, Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences.

From Research to Operations in Weather Satellites and Numerical Weather Prediction

From Research to Operations in Weather Satellites and Numerical Weather Prediction PDF Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
ISBN: 0309171652
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 96

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Book Description
This workshop report examines the capability of the forecast system to efficiently transfer weather and climate research findings into improved operational forecast capabilities. It looks in particular at the Environmental Modeling Center of the National Weather Service and environmental observational satellite programs. Using these examples, the report identifies several shortcomings in the capability to transition from research to operations. Successful transitions from R&D to operational implementation requires (1) understanding of the importance (and risks) of the transition, (2) development and maintenance of appropriate transition plans, (3) adequate resource provision, and (4) continuous feedback (in both directions) between the R&D and operational activities.

Seasonal Climate: Forecasting and Managing Risk

Seasonal Climate: Forecasting and Managing Risk PDF Author: Alberto Troccoli
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1402069928
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 467

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Book Description
Originally formed around a set of lectures presented at a NATO Advanced Study Institute (ASI), this book has grown to become organised and presented rather more as a textbook than as a standard "collection of proceedings". This therefore is the first unified reference ‘textbook’ in seasonal to interannual climate predictions and their practical uses. Written by some of the world’s leading experts, the book covers a rapidly-developing science of prime social concern.

Climate Prediction and Agriculture

Climate Prediction and Agriculture PDF Author: Mannava VK Sivakumar
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3540446508
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 319

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Book Description
Based on an International Workshop held in Geneva in 2005, this book reviews the advances made so far in seasonal climate predictions and their applications for management and decision-making in agriculture. It also identifies the challenges to be addressed in the next 5 to 10 years to further enhance operational applications of climate predictions in agriculture, especially in developing countries.